What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

5-6 AM

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 253 Open interest 533 Event Trump late night post this week? (7/5-7/11)

18%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 56% · Low 18%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.