What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 1, 2026

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 2.8K Open interest 2.6K Event When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?

90%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 81% · Low 81%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.