What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jun 19, 2026

Closes Jun 19, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 3.5K Open interest 3.2K Event When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?

28%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 35% · Low 35%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.