What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jun 17, 2026

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 5.2K Open interest 4.5K Event When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?

50%

implied YES probability

-24.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 25% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.