polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
July 31, 2026
36%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 21 days ·
High 69% ·
Low 29%
· 7d +6.1pp
How this market resolves
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Other outcomes in this event
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.