polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
September 30, 2026
87%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 90% ·
Low 51%
· 7d +15.9pp
· 30d +22.6pp
How this market resolves
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Other outcomes in this event
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