polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?
August 15, 2026
26%
implied YES probability
-10.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 2 days ·
High 32% ·
Low 30%
How this market resolves
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Other outcomes in this event
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