polymarket
Politics
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
July 31
46%
implied YES probability
+6.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 23 days ·
High 46% ·
Low 29%
· 7d +27.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Other outcomes in this event
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