polymarket Politics

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

June 30
Closes Dec 31, 2025 (0d) 24h volume $71.9K Open interest $1.6M Event Starmer out by...?
32%
implied YES probability
+11.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 90 days · High 68% · Low 10% · 7d +51.8pp · 30d -68.2pp
68%10%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

December 31
80% YES
24h vol $27.9K
October 31
69% YES
24h vol $2.5K
August 31
60% YES
24h vol $7.2K
July 31
46% YES
24h vol $25.3K
April 30
0% YES
24h vol —
December 31, 2025
0% YES
24h vol —
February 28
0% YES
24h vol —
March 31
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.