polymarket Pop Culture

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

240-259
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $81.4K Open interest $462.3K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 10 days · High 16% · Low 0% · 7d -99.0pp
16%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

160-179
56% YES
24h vol $136.9K
180-199
33% YES
24h vol $119.2K
200-219
8% YES
24h vol $132.8K
220-239
2% YES
24h vol $88.5K
140-159
1% YES
24h vol $182.4K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $85.6K
400-419
0% YES
24h vol —
380-399
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is asking whether Elon Musk will post between 240 and 259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026. As of the current price, the market implies a 0% probability that this will occur. Known facts informing the current price include Elon Musk's typical tweet frequency and his recent social media usage patterns. The price would likely increase if there were indications of an unusual surge in Musk's tweeting activity during this time period, such as an upcoming event or announcement that might prompt increased communication on his part. Conversely, a decrease in Musk's tweet count or no notable changes to his social media habits could cause the price to drop.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.