COP ConocoPhillips
XNYS
146.51
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
COP
$146.51
—
Key stats
$146.51
- 52-Week Range
- $85.57 – $146.59
- YTD
- +51.51%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 80.59
- Straddle Price
- $10.68
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.55
- Market Cap
- $170.3B
- Open
- $142.69
- Day Range
- $142.24 – $146.59
- Volume
- 7,771,479
- Prev Close
- $141.73
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.21% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.66 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 8.50% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 8.03% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +12.7pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 36.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +27.5% |
| DCF Horizon | 12 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $10.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 14.2% |
| Book / Price | 37.3% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 62.0% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 15.9% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.35 |
| Quality Score | 5/6 — high quality (12y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +2.9% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $131.18 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $130.91 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 12.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $16.3B |
| Market Cap | $175B |
Peers used for multiples: CVX, DVN, EOG, EQT, PSX, XOM
(filtered from 8 ETF-co-members; sector bias active)
60-Day Conviction
97%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 16, 2026
$149.86
α +2.3%
rank 67%
conviction
92%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 15, 2026
$153.33
α +4.7%
rank 69%
conviction
96%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 13, 2027
$154.47
α +5.4%
rank 75%
conviction
97%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $760.19 | 18% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $100.76 | 14% | |
| Peer P/E | $139.25 | 5% | median 16.7× · 6 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $175.77 | 5% | median 8.3× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/B | $121.71 | 5% | median 2.3× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/S | $137.12 | 5% | median 2.4× · 6 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $131.18 | 30% | stability 86% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $142.20 | 18% | 27 strikes · skew +0.24 |
As of 2026-10-16 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- PETROLEUM REFINING (2911) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $170.3B
- Employees
- 9,900
- List Date
- 1972-06-30
- CIK
- 0001163165
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-05 (Pre-Market)
- EPS Forecast
- $2.69 (7 est.)
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX
- Homepage
- https://www.conocophillips.com
ConocoPhillips is a US-based independent exploration and production firm. Its operations are primarily in Alaska and the Lower 48, with footprints in Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It also has substantial integrated liquefied natural gas production and marketing activities across geographies.
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1.16% | 20.13% | 7.74% | -4.86% | -1.25% | 7.79% | 5.12% |
| Feb | 27.76% | 3.63% | -12.19% | 1.04% | 0.68% | 11.46% | 5.40% |
| Mar | 0.68% | 3.14% | -6.63% | 11.41% | 13.38% | 11.64% | 5.60% |
| Apr | -5.33% | -5.03% | -5.10% | -2.38% | -15.44% | -2.03% | -5.89% |
| May | 5.69% | 17.14% | -3.15% | -6.32% | -5.85% | -7.48% | 0.01% |
| Jun | 4.51% | -22.41% | 4.10% | 0.45% | 3.48% | -10.05% | -3.32% |
| Jul | -10.85% | 7.09% | 12.94% | -2.76% | 3.64% | 16.72% | 4.46% |
| Aug | 0.27% | 15.09% | 1.41% | 4.98% | 6.69% | 11.19% | 6.61% |
| Sep | 24.01% | -4.83% | -1.92% | -4.16% | -4.44% | -8.11% | 0.09% |
| Oct | 6.26% | 14.66% | 1.45% | 0.16% | -6.91% | 15.31%* | 5.16% |
| Nov | -5.98% | -3.34% | -0.94% | 0.46% | 0.14% | -- | -1.93% |
| Dec | 4.31% | -4.11% | 0.73% | -6.57% | 3.71% | -- | -0.39% |
| Total | 57.19% | 38.16% | -3.89% | -9.51% | -5.13% | 50.38% | 21.20% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $131.64
SMA 50: $131.77
SMA 200: $118.73
Current: $146.51
EMA 12: $137.11
EMA 26: $133.79
MACD: 3.3143 | Signal: 1.8025
BULLISH
ADX (14): 25.03
TREND
+DI: 41.50
−DI: 13.18
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 74.71
OVERBOUGHT
Stoch %K: 97.15
Stoch %D: 97.76
Williams %R: -0.35
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $144.61
BB Lower: $118.68
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 62,299,070
Vol SMA 20: 6,059,225
Vol ROC: 44.89%
ATR: $3.24
True Range: $4.86
HV 20: 27.8%
HV 30: 31.9%
HV 60: 30.7%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-18T00:00:00 – 2026-10-16T00:00:00
AI Analysis
ConocoPhillips (COP) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level 6/10
ConocoPhillips presents a mixed technical and sentiment picture with conflicting signals that warrant cautious positioning. While the stock trades above all major moving averages and benefits from positive analyst coverage, deteriorating momentum indicators, bearish MACD crossover, and elevated put/call ratios suggest near-term consolidation or potential pullback risk. The negative beta (-0.51) provides defensive characteristics in market downturns but limits upside participation in risk-on environments.
Key Drivers:
- Positive analyst sentiment and value stock recognition (recent Zacks coverage)
- Price support above 20/50/200-day SMAs ($130.13, $129.08, $117.29)
- Negative beta positioning providing portfolio diversification benefits
Primary Risks:
- Bearish MACD histogram (-0.36) with negative crossover signal
- Elevated put/call volume ratio (1.58) indicating bearish options positioning
- Volume decline of -63.70% suggesting waning institutional conviction
- Stochastic overbought condition (%K: 74.17) without RSI confirmation
Investment Thesis: ConocoPhillips exhibits typical consolidation characteristics at resistance, with technical momentum deteriorating despite positive news backdrop. The stock appears positioned for either breakout above $138.88 or pullback toward $129-130 support, with resolution likely triggered by broader market movement rather than company-specific catalysts.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: News sentiment is POSITIVE with 4 of 6 recent headlines favoring COP, focusing on analyst recognition as a value stock and sector leadership. However, positive news coincided with volume decline (-63.70%), suggesting professional participants may be taking profits or reducing exposure ahead of potential technical breakdown. This divergence between sentiment and volume is a cautionary signal.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction
| Timeframe | Direction | Confidence | Key Signal | |-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------| | Short-term (1-4 weeks) | CONSOLIDATING/NEUTRAL | Medium | Price in range $121-139; ADX 17.04 indicates no strong directional conviction | | Medium-term (1-3 months) | UPTREND WITH CAUTION | Medium-High | Prices above SMA50 ($129.08) and SMA200 ($117.29); support cluster forming | | Long-term (3-12 months) | BULLISH | High | Price +$17/+14.5% above 200-day MA; sustained multi-month elevation above long-term average |
Support/Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
- $138.88 (Upper Bollinger Band) — Primary resistance; breakout above could trigger acceleration
- $134.15 (Current Price) — Testing upper half of trading range
- $135.00 (Psychological level) — Round number resistance
- $140.00 (Extended technical target) — Significant round number
Support Levels:
- $130.13 (SMA 20) — Immediate support; currently 3.1% below price
- $129.08 (SMA 50) — Secondary support; cluster confluence with EMA values
- $127.00 (Technical support zone) — Historical resistance from earlier moves
- $121.37 (Lower Bollinger Band) — Key support; represents 10.2% downside
- $117.29 (SMA 200) — Long-term support; significant psychological level
Momentum Signals
RSI (14): 59.91 — NEUTRAL
- Reading is squarely in middle of neutral zone (30-70 range)
- Not yet overbought (>70) or oversold (<30)
- Suggests room for price movement in either direction
- Interpretation: No extreme momentum condition; lacks conviction for immediate directional trade
MACD Signal — BEARISH CROSSOVER
- MACD: -0.12 (below zero line)
- Signal Line: +0.23
- Histogram: -0.36 (negative and widening)
- Interpretation: MACD recently crossed below signal line (bearish), with histogram diverging into negative territory. This is the most concerning momentum signal, suggesting loss of bullish momentum despite uptrend structure. Early warning of potential momentum exhaustion.
Stochastic Oscillator — OVERBOUGHT WARNING
- %K: 74.17 (above 70 threshold — overbought)
- %D: 54.07 (smoothed line still rising)
- Interpretation: Fast stochastic indicates short-term overbought condition. Typically suggests reversal pressure or consolidation, especially when RSI hasn't confirmed (RSI at 59.91). This divergence between stochastic and RSI is important.
Bollinger Bands — NEUTRAL SETUP
- Price: $134.15
- Upper Band: $138.88 (within 3% of resistance)
- Middle (SMA 20): $130.13
- Lower Band: $121.37
- Width: 13.46 (moderate volatility envelope)
- Interpretation: Price positioned in upper portion of bands but not touching upper band (not in extreme overbought). Neutral positioning suggests potential for either breakout or mean reversion toward middle band at $130.13.
Williams %R: -1.38 — EXTREME OVERBOUGHT
- Reading near -1 indicates stock trading at extreme upper end of recent range
- Most overbought reading in the momentum suite
- Interpretation: Corroborates stochastic overbought signal; suggests short-term pullback risk over 1-5 day horizon
Volume Analysis
Critical Volume Concern:
- Volume Rate of Change: -63.70% — This is a major red flag
- 20-day Volume SMA: 6,737,224
- Current volume trading significantly below average
- Interpretation: Declining volume during uptrend is bearish signal. Suggests:
- Waning institutional interest
- Potential profit-taking by holders
- Weaker follow-through on rally
- Possible setup for reversal or extended consolidation
On-Balance Volume (OBV): 23,465,480.31
- OBV measures cumulative volume flow
- Positive absolute value suggests money flow has been positive historically
- Interpretation: Historical accumulation, but current negative volume rate of change indicates recent distribution/profit-taking
Institutional Interest Assessment:
- Volume decline contradicts positive news sentiment
- Suggests professional participants may be skeptical of rally sustainability
- Possible scenario: Retail/algorithm-driven rally fading as institutions trim positions
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary
Positive Themes (4 headlines):
- Analyst Recognition — COP featured in multiple Zacks analyst reports (Oct 7-8) as a top stock to watch
- Value Stock Leadership — Positioned as superior value stock compared to peers (COP vs WHD comparison)
- Sector Outperformance — Highlighted as "lagging oils-energy stocks" being outperformed by COP, suggesting relative strength
- Inclusion in Research Coverage — Featured alongside AMD and Palo Alto Networks in top stock reports
Neutral/Sector Themes (2 headlines):
- General ETF research on oil & gas sector (IEO, FENY) — provides sector context but not company-specific
Sentiment Assessment
Overall Sentiment: POSITIVE (4/6 headlines favorable)
- Aggregate tone is constructive with emphasis on value proposition
- No negative news items; no earnings misses, regulatory issues, or management concerns
- Analyst community appears constructive on risk/reward positioning
Critical Timing Observation — NEWS/VOLUME DIVERGENCE
RED FLAG: Positive news headlines from Oct 7-8 (most recent) coincided with -63.70% volume decline. This is unusual and potentially concerning:
- Typically, positive news drives volume increases as buyers enter
- Declining volume on positive news suggests:
- News is being "sold on" by informed traders
- Rally lacks conviction and institutional support
- Potential reversal or exhaustion pattern forming
- Possible insider distribution or hedge fund repositioning
Catalyst Identification
Immediate (1-7 days):
- Technical breakdown below $130 support could trigger further selling
- Stochastic/Williams %R overbought conditions typically resolve within 5 days
- No company-specific catalysts identified in data
Near-term (1-4 weeks):
- Oil price movement
Generated
News
All COP news →
ConocoPhillips is evaluating an unsolicited offer for some of its assets, and the numbers sound huge.
The Iran war and broader Middle East conflict have changed the trajectory of oil prices.
Showing 1–10 of 15
Page 1 of 2
Earnings History
19 of 23 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
3.39%
Avg Actual Move
2.14%
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-02 | Pre-Market | 5.48% | 0.64% | 0.12x | Within |
| 2021-05-04 | Pre-Market | 4.15% | 0.32% | 0.08x | Within |
| 2021-08-03 | Pre-Market | 3.72% | 2.28% | 0.61x | Within |
| 2021-11-02 | Pre-Market | 3.50% | 2.09% | 0.60x | Within |
| 2022-02-03 | Pre-Market | 3.33% | 1.45% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2022-05-05 | Pre-Market | 3.84% | 0.96% | 0.25x | Within |
| 2022-08-04 | Pre-Market | 3.64% | 1.58% | 0.43x | Within |
| 2022-11-03 | Pre-Market | 3.34% | 5.78% | 1.73x | Exceeded |
| 2023-02-02 | Pre-Market | 3.72% | 5.44% | 1.46x | Exceeded |
| 2023-05-04 | Pre-Market | 3.55% | 1.32% | 0.37x | Within |
| 2023-08-03 | Pre-Market | 3.03% | 0.52% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2023-11-02 | Pre-Market | 2.93% | 4.59% | 1.57x | Exceeded |
| 2024-02-08 | Pre-Market | 2.99% | 1.41% | 0.47x | Within |
| 2024-05-02 | Pre-Market | 3.10% | 1.68% | 0.54x | Within |
| 2024-08-01 | Pre-Market | 2.75% | 2.53% | 0.92x | Within |
| 2024-10-31 | Pre-Market | 2.83% | 6.37% | 2.25x | Exceeded |
| 2025-02-06 | Pre-Market | 3.01% | 0.27% | 0.09x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | Pre-Market | 3.30% | 1.27% | 0.38x | Within |
| 2025-08-07 | Pre-Market | 3.07% | 0.55% | 0.18x | Within |
| 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 3.06% | 2.33% | 0.76x | Within |
| 2026-02-05 | Pre-Market | 2.89% | 2.43% | 0.84x | Within |
| 2026-04-30 | Pre-Market | 3.43% | 1.93% | 0.56x | Within |
| 2026-08-06 | Pre-Market | 3.24% | 1.50% | 0.46x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
COP Options Activity & IV Rank
COP IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 34.3%
7-DTE IV: 32.5%
Expected Move: $10.68
7-DTE Move: $5.42
Days to Exp: 28 (2026-11-13)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 140
Put Volume: 217
P/C Volume: 1.55
BEARISH
Call OI: 370
Put OI: 277
P/C OI: 0.749
Total OI: 647
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $5.10
ATM Put: $5.58
Call %: 3.5%
Put %: 3.8%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 35,483
Chain OI: 308,984
Last Updated: 10/16/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
HIGH γ vs HISTORY
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 97th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the high end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
97%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.74
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
-0.14
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.12
δ-decay vs time
? What is this?
· 180 ATM contracts, 104k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
3%
-1.3
pts
EXTREME
ATM 33.5% / Wing 32.2%
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM 32.9% / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
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IV Rank (7 DTE)44.5MediumOct 16
IV Rank (30 DTE)80.6HighOct 16
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$10.68Oct 16
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: -0.6718
Alpha: 67.49%
Correlation: -0.2780
R-Squared: 7.7%
Stock Volatility: 30.8%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own COP
6 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $210.3M | #51 of 3138 | new | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $74.5M | #518 of 6285 | +25.6% | 13F | |
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $57.1M | #552 of 3716 | -14.6% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $42.4M | #276 of 4729 | -12.9% | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $31.0M | #456 of 1945 | -43.7% | 13F | |
| Bridgewater Associates Hedge fund Ray Dalio | $2.4M | #668 of 997 | new | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
COP Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 1,234,878,750 (as of 2026-06-30)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
63 filers$1.66B notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $320.62M | 19.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $186.69M | 11.28% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $181.46M | 10.96% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $105.89M | 6.40% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Optiver Holding B.V. | $99.53M | 6.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $78.21M | 4.73% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | Walleye Trading LLC | $50.64M | 3.06% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Royal Bank of Canada Custodian | $50.42M | 3.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $46.71M | 2.82% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | National Bank of Canada Custodian | $36.39M | 2.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Barclays PLC Custodian | $35.35M | 2.14% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $30.86M | 1.86% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $30.68M | 1.85% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | JPMorgan Chase & Co Custodian | $30.53M | 1.84% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | TORONTO DOMINION BANK | $27.81M | 1.68% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $27.24M | 1.65% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Walleye Capital LLC | $27.06M | 1.64% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $24.74M | 1.50% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $24.48M | 1.48% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | $19.91M | 1.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | BNP Paribas Financial Markets Custodian | $17.69M | 1.07% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | LMR Partners LLP | $16.76M | 1.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $14.41M | 0.87% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $13.88M | 0.84% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | Brevan Howard Capital Management LP | $13.55M | 0.82% | 2026-06-30 |
53 filers$1.15B notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $239.72M | 20.90% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $112.07M | 9.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $94.45M | 8.24% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $66.41M | 5.79% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Walleye Trading LLC | $66.26M | 5.78% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $65.54M | 5.71% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $63.20M | 5.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Optiver Holding B.V. | $49.84M | 4.35% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | $36.69M | 3.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | ADAPT Investment Managers SA | $25.99M | 2.27% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | CAPSTONE INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC | $22.92M | 2.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $21.69M | 1.89% | 2025-09-30 |
| 13 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $19.21M | 1.68% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | HSBC Holdings plc Custodian | $18.44M | 1.61% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $17.93M | 1.56% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | UBS Group AG Custodian | $17.60M | 1.53% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $17.43M | 1.52% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | $17.33M | 1.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $14.66M | 1.28% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Brevan Howard Capital Management LP | $13.55M | 1.18% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | JPMorgan Chase & Co Custodian | $10.43M | 0.91% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | $10.06M | 0.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | Verition Fund Management LLC | $9.38M | 0.82% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | Allianz Asset Management GmbH | $8.95M | 0.78% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $8.52M | 0.74% | 2026-06-30 |
COP Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-09-16Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Robert A Niblock | Director | Grant (A) | +270 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-02 | Nicholas G Olds | Executive Vice President | Grant (A) | +22,758 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-02 | Kirk L. Johnson | Executive Vice President | Grant (A) | +37,930 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-02 | Shannon Browning Kinney | SVP & General Counsel | Grant (A) | +24,080 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-24 | Andrew D Lundquist | Senior Vice President | Sell (S) | −9,487 | $135.15 | -$1.28M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-21 | Kelly Brunetti Rose | SVP & General Counsel | Sell (S) | −15,000 | $134.51 | -$2.02M | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-16 | Robert A Niblock | Director | Grant (A) | +322 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-10 | Sharmila Mulligan | Director | Sell (S) | −1,974 | $119.00 | -$234.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | Andrew D Lundquist | Senior Vice President | Mixed | +1,611 | $116.46 | -$154.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-17 | William H. McRaven | Director | Exer (M) | +2,230 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-17 | Timothy A Leach | Director | Exer (M) | +2,230 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-31 | Nicholas G Olds | Executive Vice President | Gift (G) | −1,903 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-31 | Ryan Michael Lance | Chairman and CEO | Sell (S) | −113,221 | $132.71 | -$15.03M | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-25 | Kelly Brunetti Rose | SVP & General Counsel | Sell (S) | −7,700 | $130.03 | -$1.00M | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Ryan Michael Lance | Chairman and CEO | Mixed | — | $88.51 | -$39.28M | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
COP Insider Holdings
15 insiders · @ $146.51
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Michael Lance | Chairman and CEO | 863,635 | $126.53M | -$368.50M | 76 | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | Timothy A Leach | Director | 413,441 | $60.57M | -$20.50M | 30 | 2026-04-17 |
| 3 | R A Walker | Director | 44,900 | $6.58M | $3.51M | 10 | 2026-01-20 |
| 4 | Arjun N Murti | Director | 21,500 | $3.15M | $1.04M | 50 | 2026-01-20 |
| 5 | Kirk L. Johnson | Executive Vice President | 18,630 | $2.73M | $499.5K | 8 | 2026-09-02 |
| 6 | William L. Bullock Jr. | Executive Vice President & CFO | 17,756 | $2.60M | -$16.66M | 29 | 2025-02-13 |
| 7 | Andrew M. O'Brien | Executive Vice President & CFO | 17,348 | $2.54M | $0 | 9 | 2026-02-18 |
| 8 | Kelly Brunetti Rose | SVP & General Counsel | 10,284 | $1.51M | -$4.34M | 27 | 2026-08-21 |
| 9 | Andrew D Lundquist | Senior Vice President | 9,593 | $1.41M | -$21.14M | 46 | 2026-08-24 |
| 10 | William H. McRaven | Director | 8,096 | $1.19M | $500.0K | 10 | 2026-04-17 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
COP Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-08-21
? Form 144 Guide
Last 30d:
0 filings
· Last 90d:
2 filings
· $3.3M notice value
· 2 unique filers
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
Top 90-day filers:
Kelly Rose (1, $2.0M) · LUNDQUIST ANDREW D (1, $1.3M)
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | LUNDQUIST ANDREW D | Officer | 9,487 | $1.28M | 2026-08-21 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-20 | Kelly Rose | Officer | 15,000 | $2.02M | 2026-08-20 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-21 | Mulligan Sharmila | Director | 1,974 | $242.1K | 2026-05-21 | CHARLES SCHWAB & CO | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-31 | Ryan M. Lance | Officer | 113,221 | $14.95M | 2026-03-31 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-24 | Kelly Rose | Officer | 7,700 | $996.0K | 2026-03-24 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Nicholas Olds | Officer | 6,994 | $888.4K | 2026-03-23 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-20 | Lance Ryan Michael | Officer, Director | 506,800 | $64.49M | 2026-03-20 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-13 | LUNDQUIST ANDREW D | Officer | 34,500 | $4.13M | 2026-03-13 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-13 | Heather Grace Hrap | officer | 2,654 | $317.6K | 2026-03-13 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-13 | Nicholas G. Olds | Officer | 14,522 | $1.73M | 2026-03-12 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-14
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 0001104659-26-061130 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-30 | 0001163165-26-000016 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-05 | 0001163165-26-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-06 | 0001163165-25-000056 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-07 | 0001163165-25-000040 | EDGAR |
| 2025-07-01 | 0001104659-25-064439 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-15 | 0001104659-25-049593 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | 0001163165-25-000023 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-06 | 0001163165-25-000006 | EDGAR |
| 2025-01-28 | 0001104659-25-006571 | EDGAR |
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | 0001163165-26-000009 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-18 | 0001163165-25-000012 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-15 | 0001163165-24-000010 | EDGAR |
| 2023-02-16 | 0001163165-23-000006 | EDGAR |
| 2022-02-17 | 0001562762-22-000031 | EDGAR |
| 2021-02-16 | 0001562762-21-000027 | EDGAR |
| 2020-02-18 | 0001193125-20-039954 | EDGAR |
| 2019-02-19 | 0001193125-19-043841 | EDGAR |
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 0001163165-26-000018 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-06 | 0001163165-25-000058 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-07 | 0001163165-25-000042 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | 0001163165-25-000025 | EDGAR |
| 2024-10-31 | 0001163165-24-000052 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-01 | 0001163165-24-000037 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-02 | 0001163165-24-000023 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-02 | 0001163165-23-000031 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-03 | 0001163165-23-000023 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-04 | 0001163165-23-000011 | EDGAR |
ETF Holders
409 ETFs hold COP
25 shown · $26.97B total exposure · 0.45% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.21% | $4.8B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | Vanguard | 0.23% | $3.9B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | Nport | 3.51% | $3.3B | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 4 | XLE State Street® Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 6.97% | $3.1B | $44.2B | 2026-10-14 |
| 5 | IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.26% | $2.3B | $890.0B | 2026-10-14 |
| 6 | SPY State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust | SPDR (State Street) | 0.26% | $2.1B | $812.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 7 | VTV Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.57% | $1.4B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | Vanguard | 5.88% | $746.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 9 | VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF | Vanguard | 0.65% | $620.8M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 10 | SPYM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.26% | $470.7M | $183.2B | 2026-10-14 |
| 11 | DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.96% | $418.7M | $43.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 12 | COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | Nport | 2.17% | $394.0M | — | 2026-04-30 |
| 13 | JEPI JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF | JPMorgan | 0.85% | $388.7M | $45.9B | 2026-10-15 |
| 14 | IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.47% | $387.9M | $83.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 15 | HDV iShares Core High Dividend ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 2.18% | $334.1M | $15.4B | 2026-10-14 |
| 16 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.36% | $316.2M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 17 | IVE iShares S&P 500 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.57% | $284.1M | $49.9B | 2026-10-14 |
| 18 | AVLV Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF | Avantis | 1.25% | $274.4M | $22.0B | 2026-10-14 |
| 19 | EAGL Eagle Capital Select Equity ETF | Nport | 5.23% | $223.1M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.23% | $221.7M | $97.1B | 2026-10-14 |
| 21 | SPYV State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® Value ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.57% | $210.6M | $36.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 22 | RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | Invesco | 0.21% | $205.9M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 23 | DCOR Dimensional US Core Equity 1 ETF | Dimensional | 0.42% | $191.8M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 24 | VV Vanguard Morningstar Large-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.23% | $177.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 25 | FNDX Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF | Nport | 0.66% | $167.7M | — | 2026-05-31 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
19.38
TTM Diluted EPS
$7.56
TTM Revenue
$63.34B
TTM Net Income
$9.26B
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$21.93B
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 '26 | 2026-06-30 | $19.16B | $3.93B | $3.23 | $7.43B |
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $15.76B | $2.18B | $1.78 | $4.29B |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | $13.39B | $1.42B | $1.17 | $4.32B |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-09-30 | $15.03B | $1.73B | $1.38 | $5.88B |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-06-30 | $14.00B | $1.97B | $1.56 | $3.48B |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $16.52B | $2.85B | $2.23 | $6.12B |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | $14.24B | $2.28B | $1.90 | $4.46B |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-09-30 | $13.04B | $2.06B | $1.76 | $5.76B |
| Q2 '24 | 2024-06-30 | $13.62B | $2.33B | $1.98 | $4.92B |
| Q1 '24 | 2024-03-31 | $13.85B | $2.55B | $2.15 | $4.99B |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | $14.73B | $3.00B | $2.52 | $5.26B |
| Q3 '23 | 2023-09-30 | $14.25B | $2.79B | $2.32 | $5.45B |
Q2 2026 • period ending 2026-06-30 • filed 2026-08-06
Valuation
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
Price Multiples
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
19.38
P/B
2.77
P/S
2.86
EV/EBITDA
7.76
EV/Sales
3.11
ROE
14.2%
ROA
7.4%
Div Yield
2.39%
FCF Yield
12.12%
Debt/Equity
0.35
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$180.92B
as of 2026-10-16
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
15.33M
SI % of Float
1.28%
Days to Cover
1.96
Short Vol Ratio
52.3%
Free Float
1.20B
Float %
99.9%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-16 • Float 2026-08-14