What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 5.00

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (116d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 826 Event US gas prices on Election Day

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 28 days · High 36% · Low 2% · 7d -40.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.