What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Jennifer Siebel Newsom

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 87 Open interest 501 Event Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

14%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 17% · Low 17%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.