Will Ilhan Omar be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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chance of YES44% -1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
9–47%
30d +292 pts · 7d +4 pts
24h volume
11.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
184.6K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
44.0¢ 288 45.0¢ 28
43.0¢ 142 46.0¢ 1,592
42.0¢ 316 47.0¢ 396
41.0¢ 216 48.0¢ 8
40.0¢ 571 49.0¢ 38

Mid 44.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES58¢ 3,332$2K
NO64¢ 1,633$1K
NO63¢ 1,739$1K
YES49¢ 2,053$1K
NO64¢ 2,135$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.