K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Gavin Newsom be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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Preview
chance of YES6% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–18%
30d -30 pts · 7d -30 pts
24h volume
355
$1 contracts
Open interest
10.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Ilhan Omar44%11.1K
John Brennan22%619
Dan J. Sullivan18%1.0K
Gustavo Petro15%10
Corey Lewandowski13%40
Anthony Fauci12%142
Jack Smith10%10
James Clapper10%580

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO91¢ 3,107$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.