What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Gavin Newsom

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 305 Open interest 481 Event Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

20%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 20% · Low 20%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.