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Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

120-139
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $145.2K Open interest $462.3K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability
-41.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 10 days · High 42% · Low 1% · 7d +3635.3pp
42%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

160-179
56% YES
24h vol $136.9K
180-199
33% YES
24h vol $119.2K
200-219
8% YES
24h vol $132.8K
220-239
2% YES
24h vol $88.5K
140-159
1% YES
24h vol $182.4K
240-259
0% YES
24h vol $81.4K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $85.6K
400-419
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is asking whether Elon Musk will post between 120 and 139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026. As of the current price, the market implies a 0% probability that this will occur. Known facts informing the current price include Elon Musk's typical tweet frequency and any notable events or circumstances that may influence his posting habits during the specified period. A change in the predicted number of tweets up would require an increase in Elon Musk's tweeting activity during the designated time frame, potentially driven by external factors such as a significant event or announcement. Conversely, a decrease in the predicted number of tweets down could be attributed to a reduction in Elon Musk's posting frequency due to various reasons including changes in his personal or professional life.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.