polymarket
Business
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
425k–450k
28%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 74 days ·
High 36% ·
Low 8%
· 7d +7.8pp
· 30d +30.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Other outcomes in this event
Related stocks
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.