polymarket
Business
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026
<300k
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 74 days ·
High 16% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +40.0pp
· 30d -91.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.