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Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
400k–425k
9%
implied YES probability
-3.7pp 24h
Price history
Last 75 days ·
High 32% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -32.6pp
· 30d -65.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.