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Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

100-119
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $124.1K Open interest $460.6K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability
-24.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 10 days · High 28% · Low 0% · 7d +76.9pp
28%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

160-179
48% YES
24h vol $137.6K
180-199
37% YES
24h vol $129.2K
200-219
10% YES
24h vol $130.8K
220-239
2% YES
24h vol $88.6K
140-159
1% YES
24h vol $183.0K
240-259
0% YES
24h vol $80.9K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $85.4K
400-419
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is asking whether Elon Musk will post between 100 and 119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026. As of the current price, the market implies a 0% probability that this event will occur. Known facts informing the current price are the specified date range and the criteria for counting posts, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts. The market does not account for replies or deleted posts. A change in the predicted number of tweets within the specified range would likely cause the price to increase, while a prediction outside this range would drive the price down.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.