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Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

60-79
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume — Open interest $460.6K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 9 days · High 3% · Low 0% · 7d +200.0pp
3%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

160-179
50% YES
24h vol $136.6K
180-199
38% YES
24h vol $122.1K
200-219
9% YES
24h vol $131.0K
220-239
2% YES
24h vol $88.6K
140-159
1% YES
24h vol $181.9K
240-259
0% YES
24h vol $80.4K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $84.9K
400-419
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is asking whether Elon Musk will post between 60 and 79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026. As of the current price, there is a perceived 0% probability that this event will occur. Known facts informing the current price are the specific dates and timeframes outlined in the market description, as well as Elon Musk's typical tweet frequency. The price would likely increase if there were indications or rumors suggesting an unusual surge in Musk's tweet activity during this period. Conversely, a decrease in the predicted probability of 60-79 tweets could be driven by information indicating that Musk's tweet rate has been trending downward or that he may be taking a break from social media during this timeframe.
Generated Jul 08, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.