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Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

420-439
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume Open interest $460.6K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 10 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d -66.7pp
0%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.