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Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

80-99
Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $29.5K Open interest $462.3K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability
-2.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 9 days · High 10% · Low 0% · 7d +1533.3pp
10%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

160-179
56% YES
24h vol $136.9K
180-199
33% YES
24h vol $119.2K
200-219
8% YES
24h vol $132.8K
220-239
2% YES
24h vol $88.5K
140-159
1% YES
24h vol $182.4K
240-259
0% YES
24h vol $81.4K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $85.6K
400-419
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market for Elon Musk's tweet count from July 3 to July 10, 2026, currently shows a YES price of 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero that he will post between 80 and 99 tweets during this period. This assessment is informed by the fact that there are no publicly known events or circumstances that would suggest an unusually high tweet volume from Musk during this time frame. The market's current pricing reflects a lack of information or uncertainty about Musk's tweeting habits during this specific period. Any new information that suggests Musk will be more active on Twitter, such as a major product launch or a significant company announcement, could potentially drive the YES price up. Conversely, if there is no notable news or events surrounding Musk's Twitter activity, the current pricing may remain unchanged.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.