ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(VIXY · ETF)
ETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $16.43 – $39.70
- YTD
- -34.17%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 22.42
- Straddle Price
- $1.58
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.10
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY) ETF
- Exchange
- BATS
- Inception
- 2011-01-03
- Has Options
- Yes
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | CBOE VIX FUTURE Oct26 | 53.83% | Derivative | — |
| — | PROSHARES GENIUS MNY MKT ETF | 24.38% | Derivative | — |
| — | CBOE VIX FUTURE Nov26 | 21.79% | Derivative | — |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.55% | 16 |
| Feb | +1.62% | 16 |
| Mar | -1.05% | 16 |
| Apr | -6.27% | 16 |
| May | -7.92% | 16 |
| Jun | -6.75% | 16 |
| Jul | -8.58% | 16 |
| Aug | +4.38% | 16 |
| Sep | -1.46% | 16 |
| Oct | -3.75% | 15 |
| Nov | -11.90% | 15 |
| Dec | -1.59% | 15 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: VIXY
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: BEARISH (Confidence level: 6/10)
Key drivers:
- Negative beta (-3.56) indicating a move opposite to the market
- Bearish MACD signal and histogram, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend
- Volatility indicators are flashing high risk, with IV rank at 23.7% (low) and current IV at 96.1%
Primary risks:
- High volatility and implied volatility premium vs historical volatility, indicating potential for significant moves
- Negative news sentiment and bearish market narrative
Investment thesis: VIXY is likely to continue its downtrend, driven by negative beta and bearish technical indicators. However, high volatility and implied volatility premium suggest a potential for significant moves.
Recent news sentiment impact: The recent news headlines are neutral, with no clear positive or negative bias. The market narrative is bearish, aligning with the technical signals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks) - Downtrend; Medium-term (1-3 months) - Downtrend; Long-term (3-12 months) - Range-bound
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $18.34
- Middle Line (SMA 20): $20.48
- Upper Bollinger Band: $22.62
Momentum Signals: RSI interpretation: Neutral (33.13) - no clear buy or sell signal MACD signal: Bearish, with histogram at -0.62 Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, indicating a potential breakout
Volume Analysis: Volume is declining, with On-Balance Volume (OBV) negative and Volume Rate of Change (VRC) at -18.15%. This suggests low institutional interest and a potential for further downside.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral news headlines from reputable sources, with no clear positive or negative bias.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment overall, with no strong catalysts or events driving the market.
Catalyst Identification: None identified in recent news headlines.
Market Narrative: Bearish narrative aligning with technical signals and high volatility.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Stock moves opposite to the market (beta: -3.56), indicating high risk.
Volatility Regime: High volatility regime, with IV rank at 23.7% (low) and current IV at 96.1%.
Options Market Signals: Options market is pricing a $2.42 move by expiration, with a put/call volume ratio of 1.14 and open interest in calls.
Downside Protection: Support levels at $18.34 and $20.48; stop-loss levels should be set above these levels to minimize potential losses.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: VIXY is outperforming the S&P 500, indicating a sector rotation towards volatility plays.
Institutional Activity: Low institutional interest, with declining volume and OBV.
Correlation Analysis: Stock moves opposite to the market (R-squared: -0.81), indicating high risk.
Relative Valuation: VIXY is trading at the lower end of its historical range, suggesting potential for further downside.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: Support at $18.34 and $20.48; resistance at $22.62.
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves: Lower Bollinger Band ($18.34) and Middle Line (SMA 20) ($20.48).
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: None identified in recent news headlines.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss levels above the critical price levels to minimize potential losses; consider reducing position size due to high volatility and implied volatility premium.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 22.42
- IV Rank (7D)
- 22.42
- Avg IV
- 94.3%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.58
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.58
- P/C Volume
- 0.10
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- -3.51
- Correlation (SPY)
- -80.8%
- R²
- 0.65
- Ann. Volatility
- 56.4%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
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