polymarket Politics

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

5 outcomes · Closes Dec 31, 2026 · 24h volume $506

Outcomes & current odds

Stefan Brodie
38%
$89
Steve Bannon
32%
$56
Ghislaine Maxwell
10%
$27
Sam Bankman-Fried
9%
$225
Elon Musk
4%
$109

How this event resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Summary

SourcePolymarket
Outcomes5
Total 24h volume$506
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Leader
38% YES