polymarket
Politics
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
Steve Bannon
32%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 35% ·
Low 13%
· 7d +50.0pp
· 30d +43.5pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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