polymarket Politics

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Elon Musk
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $109 Open interest $65.9K Event Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
4%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 85 days · High 8% · Low 3% · 7d +36.1pp · 30d +12.2pp
8%3%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Stefan Brodie
38% YES
24h vol $89
Steve Bannon
32% YES
24h vol $56
Ghislaine Maxwell
10% YES
24h vol $27
Sam Bankman-Fried
9% YES
24h vol $15

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.