polymarket Politics

Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

Stefan Brodie
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $89 Open interest $65.9K Event Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
38%
implied YES probability
-21.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 34 days · High 72% · Low 30% · 7d -39.2pp · 30d -51.6pp
72%30%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.