polymarket Politics

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?

Ghislaine Maxwell
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $27 Open interest $65.9K Event Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
10%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 19% · Low 6% · 7d +5.6pp · 30d -29.6pp
19%6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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