kalshi
Sports
Will Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?
Spain vs England
12%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 6 days ·
High 12% ·
Low 3%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Invest in a Roku smart projector at 38% off, and it'll arrive in time for the World Cup final
TheStreet · 17 min ago
-
Kenya economy to grow 4.3% in 2026, 4.4% in 2027 - World Bank
Investing.com · 5h ago
-
How Lenovo's AI-powered solutions are directly impacting the FIFA World Cup experience
Fox Business Latest · 7h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market for whether Spain will play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final suggests a low probability of this matchup occurring, with a current price of 0.12 implying a 12% chance. This assessment is likely informed by known facts such as the teams' recent performances and group stage draws, which may influence their potential paths to the final. The market will reassess its estimate based on any changes in team dynamics, injuries, or other factors that could impact each team's chances of advancing through the tournament. If Spain experiences a significant improvement in form or England suffers an unexpected setback, the YES price could increase, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of this matchup occurring. Conversely, if either team's performance deteriorates or another contender emerges as a strong favorite, the YES price may decrease, reflecting a lower probability of this specific final.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.4¢ | 6710 | 12.5¢ | 4135 | |
| 12.3¢ | 12 | 12.7¢ | 2500 | |
| 11.7¢ | 508 | 13.4¢ | 44 | |
| 11.6¢ | 10000 | 13.5¢ | 5214 | |
| 11.5¢ | 4005 | 14.6¢ | 396 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 12.4¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.