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Will Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

Spain vs England
Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 130.3K Open interest 287.8K Event World Cup Final Matchup
12%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 6 days · High 12% · Low 3%
12%3%

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AI analysis

The prediction market for whether Spain will play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final suggests a low probability of this matchup occurring, with a current price of 0.12 implying a 12% chance. This assessment is likely informed by known facts such as the teams' recent performances and group stage draws, which may influence their potential paths to the final. The market will reassess its estimate based on any changes in team dynamics, injuries, or other factors that could impact each team's chances of advancing through the tournament. If Spain experiences a significant improvement in form or England suffers an unexpected setback, the YES price could increase, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of this matchup occurring. Conversely, if either team's performance deteriorates or another contender emerges as a strong favorite, the YES price may decrease, reflecting a lower probability of this specific final.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
12.4¢ 6710 12.5¢ 4135
12.3¢ 12 12.7¢ 2500
11.7¢ 508 13.4¢ 44
11.6¢ 10000 13.5¢ 5214
11.5¢ 4005 14.6¢ 396
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 12.4¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.