What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Will France play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

France vs England

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 112.1K Open interest 452.9K Event World Cup Final Matchup

20%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 7 days · High 23% · Low 7%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing France playing England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final at a 19% probability, as indicated by the current YES price of 0.19. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the teams' past performances and group stage outcomes, which may have influenced market participants' expectations. The current price does not take into account potential factors that could impact the matchup, including team injuries, coaching strategies, or external events that might affect player morale. A change in any of these variables could cause the YES price to shift upwards if the likelihood of France playing England increases, or downwards if it decreases.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
19.7¢	3925	20.3¢	313
19.6¢	10000	21.2¢	2500
19.5¢	775	21.8¢	4266
19.3¢	995	21.9¢	10000
19.2¢	3000	22.0¢	3925

Spread 0.6¢ · Mid 20.0¢

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Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.