What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Will Belgium play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

Belgium vs England

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 93.6K Open interest 192.4K Event World Cup Final Matchup

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 4 days · High 2% · Low 1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for whether Belgium will play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final is currently pricing in a 2% probability of this matchup occurring. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the teams' past performances and group stage draw, which may influence their potential paths to the final. The current price would likely increase if either team were to dominate their respective groups or have a strong run in the knockout stages, while a decrease could occur if they experience early exits or struggle in their group matches. Conversely, any significant upsets or surprises in the tournament's earlier rounds could also impact the market's assessment of this potential matchup. The price is expected to remain stable until the 2026 World Cup Final Matchup is determined, at which point it will close on July 26th, 2026.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
1.9¢	17293	2.0¢	8452
1.7¢	1000	2.3¢	19
1.0¢	5968	2.4¢	1543
0.9¢	2222	2.5¢	8129
0.8¢	1250	2.7¢	2500

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 1.9¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.