What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Will Spain play Switzerland in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

Spain vs Switzerland

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 42.3K Open interest 147.8K Event World Cup Final Matchup

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 6 days · High 2% · Low 0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 2% probability that Spain will play Switzerland in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the teams' past performances and group stage draws. The current price of 0.02 reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing the likelihood of these two teams meeting in the final against other possible matchups. Any developments that could impact the teams' paths to the final, such as upsets or dominant performances during the tournament, would likely cause the YES price to fluctuate accordingly. Conversely, a significant change in the teams' form or injuries to key players could also influence the market's perception of their chances and thus the current price.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
2.1¢	20254	2.2¢	23744
1.9¢	9214	2.4¢	1200
1.0¢	5500	2.7¢	20234
0.9¢	2222	2.9¢	5
0.8¢	6256	3.0¢	3490

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.1¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.