What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Will Morocco play Norway in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

Morocco vs Norway

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 185.9K Open interest 447.2K Event World Cup Final Matchup

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 4 days · High 2% · Low 1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for Morocco playing Norway in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final suggests a low likelihood of this matchup occurring, with a current YES price of 0.01 implying a 1% probability. This assessment is informed by the fact that Morocco and Norway are not typically considered strong contenders in international football competitions, which may contribute to the market's skepticism about their potential to meet in the final match. The current price does not reflect any specific information or developments that would significantly alter the likelihood of this matchup occurring, as the event is still several years away. Any changes to the teams' performance, injuries, or other factors could potentially impact the YES price, with an increase indicating a higher perceived probability and a decrease suggesting a lower likelihood.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
1.4¢	28	1.5¢	1326
1.3¢	6104	2.7¢	198
1.2¢	100	2.8¢	10000
0.9¢	2500	3.0¢	2500
0.7¢	26000	3.7¢	20000

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 1.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.