Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Australia winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of 0.00. This suggests that the market is not pricing in any likelihood of an Australian victory at this time. The current state of affairs is informed by the fact that Australia has not yet qualified for the tournament and will need to navigate the qualification process before competing in the World Cup. Any developments that impact Australia's chances of qualifying, such as a successful qualification campaign or an early elimination from the tournament, would likely influence the market price. A change in the probability of an Australian victory could be driven by factors such as team performance, player injuries, and coaching changes.