polymarket
Sports
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
England
10%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 13% ·
Low 10%
· 7d -0.9pp
· 30d -7.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for England winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently indicates a 10% probability of occurrence, with a YES price of 0.10. This assessment is informed by known facts such as England's performance in recent international tournaments and their standing within the global football community. The current price does not reflect any specific event or development that would significantly impact the team's chances of winning. A change in England's squad composition, coaching staff, or overall team dynamics could potentially influence the market price, with an upward movement indicating increased optimism about their prospects and a downward movement suggesting decreased confidence.
Generated Jun 17, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.