polymarket
Sports
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Netherlands
4%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 5% ·
Low 3%
· 7d +25.3pp
· 30d +47.8pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Netherlands winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup is currently priced at 0.05, indicating a 5% probability of this outcome. This price reflects the collective assessment of market participants and is informed by known facts such as the team's recent performance in international competitions and their standing within the global football community. The current price would increase if there were significant improvements in the Netherlands' squad or coaching staff, or if other top contenders suffered setbacks that diminished their chances of winning. Conversely, a decrease in the price could occur if the Netherlands experienced a decline in form or if another team's prospects improved significantly.
Generated Jun 17, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.