polymarket
Sports
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Portugal
10%
implied YES probability
-0.7pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 12% ·
Low 7%
· 7d +9.1pp
· 30d +33.5pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Portugal's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently indicates a 10% probability, with a YES price of 0.10. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Portugal's performance in recent international tournaments and their standing within the global football community. The current price does not reflect any specific event or development that would significantly impact Portugal's chances of winning, but rather a general consensus among market participants. A change in this probability could be driven by factors such as Portugal's performance in qualifying matches, injuries to key players, or changes in team management.
Generated Jun 17, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.