Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Norway's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently reflects a 3% probability, with a YES price of 0.03. This assessment is informed by known facts about Norway's national team, including their recent performance and any notable changes to their roster or coaching staff. The current price does not take into account hypothetical scenarios or speculative outcomes, but rather reflects the collective opinion of market participants based on available information. A significant change in Norway's fortunes, such as a major injury to key players or a coaching change, could potentially impact the YES price and increase the probability of their victory. Conversely, a decline in team performance or other negative developments could lead to a decrease in the YES price and a lower predicted probability of success.