Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Morocco winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently prices in a 3% probability of occurrence. This assessment is informed by known facts about Morocco's national team and their performance in recent international competitions. The current price does not reflect any specific information or events that may have occurred since the market opened, as it only considers publicly available data up to the present moment. A change in Morocco's squad composition, coaching staff, or player injuries could potentially impact the YES price, causing it to rise if such developments improve their chances of winning or fall if they worsen their prospects. Conversely, a significant improvement in another team's performance or a notable setback for Morocco could lead to a decrease in the YES price. The market will close on July 20, 2026, at which point the current probability estimate will be resolved as either correct or incorrect.