polymarket
Sports
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
South Korea
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +40.0pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
South Korea Seeks Trump’s Help on North Korean Nuclear Issue
Bloomberg Politics · 3h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market for South Korea winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This suggests that the market is not considering South Korea as a viable contender to win the tournament at this time. The current price is likely influenced by known facts such as South Korea's performance in previous international tournaments and their ranking in the FIFA world rankings. Any significant changes to these factors, such as an improvement in their team's strength or a notable upset in the group stage, could potentially increase the YES price and probability of South Korea winning. Conversely, if South Korea is eliminated early in the tournament, the market would likely reflect this outcome by decreasing the YES price and probability. The market will close on July 20, 2026, at which point the resolution will be determined based on official information from FIFA.
Generated Jun 17, 2026
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.