polymarket
Sports
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sweden
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 78 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +22.2pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Sweden winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup indicates a low probability of occurrence, with the current YES price standing at 0.01 (approximately 1%). This suggests that the majority of participants do not expect Sweden to emerge victorious in the tournament. The current price is informed by known facts such as Sweden's performance in recent international football competitions and their ranking in the FIFA world rankings. Any significant changes in these factors, such as a notable improvement or decline in Sweden's team strength, could potentially impact the YES price. Conversely, if Sweden experiences a strong run in the tournament, increasing their chances of winning, the YES price may rise.
Generated Jun 17, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.