Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Croatia winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup indicates a low probability of occurrence, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance of this outcome. This assessment is informed by known facts about the team's performance in recent international competitions and their standing within the global football community. The market's current valuation does not reflect any significant changes or developments that would impact Croatia's chances of winning the tournament. A shift in the team's roster, coaching staff, or overall team dynamics could potentially alter the price, with an increase indicating improved prospects for a Croatian victory and a decrease suggesting decreased confidence in their ability to win.