Amgen Inc (AMGN) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $261.43 – $391.29
- YTD
- +0.67%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 50.21
- Straddle Price
- $17.70
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 5.17
- Market Cap
- $186.9B
- Industry (SIC)
- BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (2836)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $186.9B
Amgen is a leader in biotechnology-based human therapeutics. Flagship drugs include red blood cell boosters Epogen and Aranesp, immune system boosters Neupogen and Neulasta, and Enbrel and Otezla for inflammatory diseases. Amgen introduced its first cancer therapeutic, Vectibix, in 2006 and markets bone-strengthening drugs Prolia/Xgeva (approved 2010) and Evenity (2019). The acquisition of Onyx Pharmaceuticals bolstered the firm's therapeutic oncology portfolio with Kyprolis. Recent launches include Repatha (cholesterol-lowering), Aimovig (migraine), Lumakras (lung cancer), and Tezspire (asthm…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +3.46% | 6 |
| Feb | -0.51% | 6 |
| Mar | -0.83% | 6 |
| Apr | -2.87% | 6 |
| May | +1.69% | 6 |
| Jun | -0.46% | 5 |
| Jul | +4.81% | 5 |
| Aug | -0.74% | 5 |
| Sep | -1.64% | 5 |
| Oct | +2.22% | 5 |
| Nov | +2.01% | 5 |
| Dec | -0.61% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 35.3 | Neutral |
| MACD | -4.605 | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $357.71 | Below |
| SMA 200 | $324.87 | Above |
| Bollinger Bands | Oversold | |
| ADX | 15.6 | Range |
| HV 30 | 23.6% |
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
The stock price of AMGN is currently trading at $329.82, with a mix of bullish and bearish signals from the technical indicators. The trend indicators suggest a range-bound market, while the momentum oscillators indicate neutral sentiment. The Bollinger Bands are oversold, indicating potential for a bounce. Recent news headlines have been mixed, with some positive developments in the biotechnology sector, but overall market sentiment is negative.
Key Drivers and Primary Risks:
- Strong fundamental drivers from the biotech sector
- Range-bound market with no clear directional bias
- Oversold conditions may lead to a bounce
- Bearish momentum signals from MACD and Stochastic indicators
Recent News Sentiment Impact: NEGATIVE (due to overall market sentiment)
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: NEUTRAL (range-bound)
- Medium-term: NEUTRAL (range-bound)
- Long-term: BULLISH (trend up, but with a range-bound bias)
Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels include:
- Lower band: $333.78
- Middle band: $346.03
- Upper band: $358.28
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: 35.30 (neutral)
- MACD: -4.60 / Signal: -0.91 / Histogram: -3.70 (bearish)
- Stochastic %K: 29.72
- Stochastic %D: 22.02
Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:
- Volume SMA 20: 2553057.46
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 105274144.96
- Volume Rate of Change: 2.61%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Mixed news headlines, including positive developments in the biotech sector and negative market sentiment.
Sentiment Assessment: NEGATIVE (due to overall market sentiment)
Catalyst Identification: FDA announcements and earnings releases from companies in the biotech sector.
Market Narrative: The recent news headlines suggest a mixed picture, with some positive developments in the biotech sector but overall market sentiment remaining negative. This may lead to a range-bound market or even a bounce if oversold conditions persist.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Low risk (beta: 0.61 vs SPY)
Volatility Regime: Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Options Market Signals: IV Rank: 50.2% (Medium), Current IV: 50.2%, Expected Move: $17.70, Volume Flow: Bearish sentiment
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Biotech sector performing well, but with a range-bound bias.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest is moderate, with a mix of buying and selling activity.
Correlation Analysis: Stock moves less than market (R-squared interpretation)
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, with no clear directional bias.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: $333.78
- Resistance: $358.28
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Breakout above the upper band or breakdown below the lower band could trigger significant moves.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: FDA announcements and earnings releases from companies in the biotech sector.
Risk Management: Consider stop-loss levels at critical price levels, with a focus on risk management rather than outright buy/sell recommendations.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 50.21
- IV Rank (7D)
- 78.47
- Avg IV
- 50.2%
- Straddle (30D)
- $17.70
- Straddle (7D)
- $8.57
- P/C Volume
- 5.17
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.61
- Correlation (SPY)
- 27.3%
- R²
- 0.07
- Ann. Volatility
- 27.9%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.5%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 21.1 |
| P/S Ratio | 5.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.0 |
| ROE | 89.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.80% |
| Debt/Equity | 6.31 |