What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Dan Kleban

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 65.6K Open interest 59.0K Event Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

4%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 6% · Low 1%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.