kalshi
Economics
Will it be confirmed that Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Graham Platner
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 1%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner suspends his campaign
Investing.com · 19h ago
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Factbox-Who could replace Maine US Senate candidate Graham Platner?
Investing.com · 4h ago
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U.S. midterms: Democrat Graham Platner drops out of Maine Senate race
Seeking Alpha · 9h ago
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Platner quits Maine Senate race; Democrats set to pick new nominee
CNBC Top News · 19h ago
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How the Democrats Will Replace Platner on Maine’s Senate Ballot
Bloomberg Politics · 8h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a 0% probability that Graham Platner will be confirmed as the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026. This assessment is based on current information and publicly available data, which suggests that Platner's candidacy has not yet gained significant traction or momentum. The market is not indicating any notable shifts or changes that would alter this probability at present. Any new developments or announcements regarding Platner's campaign could potentially impact the price of the contract, with a positive outcome for his nomination likely to drive the price upward and a negative outcome driving it downward.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0¢ | 32455 | 3.0¢ | 43643 | |
| 1.0¢ | 196170 | 4.0¢ | 620 | |
| 5.0¢ | 3506 | |||
| 6.0¢ | 5068 | |||
| 7.0¢ | 5625 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 2.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.