What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Shenna Bellows

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 61.2K Open interest 66.1K Event Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

30%

implied YES probability

+10.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 31% · Low 13%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 30.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.