What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Will it be confirmed that Janet Mills is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

Janet Mills

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 73.1K Open interest 78.1K Event Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 3 days · High 6% · Low 1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 2% probability that Janet Mills will be confirmed as the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026. This assessment is based on known facts about the current state of the election and the candidates involved. The price of the YES outcome reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing various factors such as candidate popularity, campaign momentum, and potential challenges or endorsements that could impact the nomination process. Any significant developments in these areas would likely influence the price, with a decrease in probability (i.e., an increase in the NO price) potentially resulting from news that favors other candidates or challenges Mills' bid, while an increase in probability (i.e., a decrease in the NO price) might follow announcements or endorsements that bolster her chances.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
1.0¢	17260	2.0¢	19963
		3.0¢	10000
		4.0¢	12
		5.0¢	70
		6.0¢	3024

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.