kalshi
Economics
Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Troy Jackson
48%
implied YES probability
+10.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 59% ·
Low 46%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner suspends his campaign
Investing.com · 19h ago
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Platner quits Maine Senate race; Democrats set to pick new nominee
CNBC Top News · 19h ago
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IBD Live Q&A Summary, Stock Lists For Thursday, July 9, 2026
IBD · 1h ago
-
Maine Democrats seek path forward in critical US Senate race
Investing.com · 4h ago
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Factbox-Who could replace Maine US Senate candidate Graham Platner?
Investing.com · 4h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 46% probability that Troy Jackson will be confirmed as the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Jackson's strong showing in recent polls and endorsements from prominent Democrats in the state. The current price of 0.46 suggests that market participants believe Jackson has a significant advantage over other potential nominees. Any developments that strengthen Jackson's position or undermine those of his rivals could drive the YES price higher, while news that challenges his candidacy or favors alternative nominees could cause it to decline.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0¢ | 3834 | 49.0¢ | 1687 | |
| 47.0¢ | 12250 | 50.0¢ | 5931 | |
| 46.0¢ | 10066 | 51.0¢ | 1014 | |
| 45.0¢ | 11588 | 52.0¢ | 10000 | |
| 44.0¢ | 50 | 54.0¢ | 168 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 48.5¢
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