What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 17.4 GW

Closes May 02, 2027 (281d) 24h volume 250 Open interest 300 Event First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026

58%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 59% · Low 58%

FSLR First Solar, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.